Turning gut-feel fuel assignment into data-driven planning
Fuel represents around 30% of an airline’s operational costs, making fuel efficiency a strategic priority. Arrival delay fuel planning relies on risk tolerance, not regulation, so when fuel planners overcompensate, airlines compromise their margins and sustainability targets.
$2m
6 weeks
5 mins
How Kubrick delivered value
- 01
The challenge
For a global, long-haul airline, fuel efficiency is a strategic priority. However, accurately estimating arrival delay fuel, a non-regulated fuel type, depends on several variables, such as aircraft weight, weather conditions, and air traffic.
Complex and disjointed data sources meant planners relied on subjective judgement; a typical ‘just round it up’ approach scaled across thousands of flights a year meant millions in wasted fuel.
- 02
The approach
Kubrick delivered a predictive modelling solution in just 6 weeks, enabling arrival‑delay fuel optimization through:
- Discovery with flight planners and operational leaders to understand existing workflows and decision drivers.
- A single source of truth, combining all operational data in the Databricks modern data platform
- Advanced data modelling that reveals the areas of consistent allocation mismanagement and areas of greater risk
- An interactive Streamlit dashboard interface, accessible via web browser
- 03
The impact
The solution provided planners a single, trusted view on their upcoming flights and requirements that integrated easily into their workflows. By identifying where arrival delay fuel is consistently over- or under-allocated, they could improve fuel management without increasing operational risk.
The tool empowers planners to make more accurate, near real-time decisions on minor adjustments, so they can focus their efforts on understanding the more volatile disruptions coming their way. In a carrier of 40-50 aircrafts, this tool can save up to $2m per year in wasted fuel.


